From Engagement to
Strategic Competition: Analysing China’s Rise and Its Implications for US
Global Leadership
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1.Zainab Abubakar
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DOI : 10.5281/zenodo.18145135
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1.Skyline University Nigeria
Over the
past four decades, the People’s Republic of China (PRC) has transformed from a
peripheral actor to a central pole of global power, reshaping the international
system and challenging the United States’ long-standing primacy. This study
examines China’s rise across three interlinked dimensions economic, military,
and diplomatic and assesses the implications for US strategic, economic, and
normative interests. Drawing on power-transition theory, great-power
competition frameworks, and contemporary scholarship on US-China relations, the
research adopts a qualitative and analytical approach, synthesising secondary
data from official documents, scholarly publications, and empirical reports.
Findings indicate that China’s sustained economic expansion, technological
innovation, military modernisation, and assertive diplomacy have generated a
multifaceted challenge to US dominance. The United States faces pressures to
recalibrate its grand strategy, secure resilient supply chains, reinforce
alliances, and maintain influence in critical regions, particularly the
Indo-Pacific. At the same time, China’s rise is uneven and context-dependent,
leaving space for selective engagement, hedging, and co-existence. The study
concludes that US–China relations are defined by a complex mix of
interdependence, strategic competition, and normative contestation, with
profound consequences for global security, economic governance, and
international order. It recommends that US policymakers adopt a nuanced
strategy combining deterrence, engagement, and multilateral coordination while
recognising the contingent nature of the rivalry, and that both powers pursue
mechanisms for crisis management to avoid escalation.
